FOREX-Dollar index slips but holds near 3-week lows; yuan drops

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By Chuck Mikolajczak

New York, Oct 12 (Reuters)The dollar index was little changed near three-week lows on Monday as optimism over the possibility of a COVID-19 relief bill was curbed by concern over the pandemic, while China’s yuan fell after the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) changed its reserve requirements policy.

On Sunday, the Trump administration called on Congress to pass a stripped-down coronavirus relief bill using leftover funds from an expired small-business loan program, as negotiations on a broader package continue to run into roadblocks. A White House spokeswoman said on Monday that Senate Republicans will go along with what Trump wants in legislation.

The greenback has held within a range of about 2% over the past three weeks as talks have gone back and forth. The dollar had its biggest loss in six weeks on Friday amid rising hopes a fiscal stimulus package would be agreed to stem the economic fallout from COVID-19. More stimulus is seen as negative for the dollar.

“The dollar just retains this soft underbelly on expectations that sooner or later there will be some stimulus out of Washington,” said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union Business Solutions in Washington DC.

“At the same time, if you look at some of the election developments, the polls are trending in a way that is reducing worries about a contested outcome, that is more risk positive and therefore dollar negative.”

Opinion polls show Biden with a substantial lead nationally, but the advantage is smaller in some of the states that may decide the election outcome.

The offshore yuan CNHUSD=R fell 0.76% against the dollar after China’s central bank said on Saturday it would lower the reserve requirement ratio for financial institutions when conducting some foreign exchange forwards trading, a move seen as a bid to curb recent yuan appreciation.

The yuan had reached a more than 17-month high on Friday in offshore trade and has gained nearly 8% against the dollar since late May. But on Monday the offshore yuan was on track for its biggest daily decline against the dollar since March.

The PBOC’s move to end the requirement for banks to set aside cash to cover yuan forward transactions would make it easier to short the yuan, said RBC’s head of Asia FX, Alvin Tan.

The move was also cited by analysts as a reason for weakness in the China-sensitive Australian dollar, which was down about 0.4%.

The dollar index =USD fell 0.059%.

The euro EUR=EBS was down 0.18% to $1.18105. In Europe, the World Health Organization has urged governments to restrict activity to combat a rapid rise in COVID-19 infections.

The Japanese yen JPY=EBS weakened 0.24% versus the greenback at 105.36 per dollar after Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda stressed his readiness to take additional monetary easing steps.

The pound held above $1.30, strengthening after Prime Minister Boris Johnson set out on Monday a three-tier system of local lockdown measures in England GBP=D3. Sterling GBP=D3 was last trading at $1.3065, up 0.15% on the day.

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Currency bid prices at 2:45PM (1845 GMT)

Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Previous Session

Pct Change

YTD Pct Change

High Bid

Low Bid

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

$1.1810

$1.1832

-0.18%

+5.35%

+1.1827

+1.1787

Dollar/Yen

JPY=D3

105.3500

105.6300

-0.26%

-3.00%

+105.6900

+105.2550

Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

124.42

124.92

-0.40%

+2.03%

+124.9600

+124.2900

Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.9094

0.9096

-0.01%

-6.01%

+0.9123

+0.9088

Sterling/Dollar

GBP=D3

1.3063

1.3045

+0.15%

-1.49%

+1.3082

+1.3006

Dollar/Canadian

CAD=D3

1.3117

1.3115

+0.02%

+0.98%

+1.3142

+1.3102

Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

0.7210

0.7243

-0.46%

+2.75%

+0.7235

+0.7203

Euro/Swiss

EURCHF=

1.0741

1.0760

-0.18%

-1.02%

+1.0774

+1.0735

Euro/Sterling

EURGBP=

0.9040

0.9062

-0.24%

+6.93%

+0.9079

+0.9029

NZ Dollar/Dollar

NZD=D3

0.6647

0.6671

-0.30%

-1.16%

+0.6670

+0.6644

Dollar/Norway

NOK=D3

9.1385

9.1285

+0.28%

+4.36%

+9.1630

+9.1245

Euro/Norway

EURNOK=

10.7954

10.8100

-0.14%

+9.73%

+10.8240

+10.7760

Dollar/Sweden

SEK=

8.7983

8.7792

-0.03%

-5.87%

+8.8231

+8.7856

Euro/Sweden

EURSEK=

10.3912

10.3945

-0.03%

-0.75%

+10.4127

+10.3820

(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak Editing by Nick Zieminski)

(([email protected]; @ChuckMik; Reuters Messaging: [email protected]))

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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